Friday, 8 May 2015

Rule #244: The weatherman

We've all been victims of incorrect weather forecasting at least once in our lives - whether it was ending up multiple blocks from home void of shelter or planning to go swimming on a day that would have been more suitable for skiing. 

Still, I don't like people bashing the weatherman. Do you know how hard it must be to predict the temperature 5 days from now? or how windy it will be? or if it's going to rain? C'mon! Think about it! Can you do better? I'm sure we'd all love to hear your prediction. I can picture it now, everyone glued to the T.V. listening to this: "Well my left knee is acting up, so I'm thinking there will be some rain coming. And the ringing in my ear tells me it's going to be windy. Whatever dude.

And what about the almighty weather prophet, the groundhog? We
have so little faith in a multi million dollar system that relies on high tech satellite imagery, radar, surface and upper air observations. Using complex equations, our weathermen are able to detect, with pretty good accuracy, the air pressure, humidity, wind speed, and temperature, among other things. But as soon as he's wrong, POW! Right in the kisser! Yet every year the groundhog faithfuls gather to see if Willy will see his shadow. The result of which we base the next 6 weeks of our lives.

And let's compare, the weatherman is accurate 81% to 84% of
the time. According to Groundhog Day organizers, the rodents' forecasts are accurate 75% to 90% of the time, However, A Canadian study for 13 cities in the past 30 to 40 years found that the weather patterns predicted on Groundhog Day were only 37% accurate over that time period—a value not significant compared to the 33% that could occur by chance. And if the organizers are liars, how can you put your faith in that lying rodent? 

In the new world, lay off the weatherman, or we're gonna pay a visit to Punxsutawney Phil.



  1. I have to completely disagree with you on this one or did you mean to say that the forecasters have been incorrect accept for once in our lives? Also...the groundhog's main job is to let us know how many more weeks we have until spring and not to give us a daily forecast which btw...forecasters can't even seem to give you the proper forecast in the same day! I can remember numerous occasions that I would be looking out the window listening to a report that was completely opposite as to what was going on outside....all I can say is that I would love to have a job that I could screw up as much as the weather dudes and not get canned!

  2. If you're looking out the window and see rain, and the forcast says sun, it's really sunny. You're looking wrong. I think it's accurate to say that 82% of the time, the weatherman is right every time.

  3. In the weatherman's defence, how many times have you called someone across town only to find out its pouring rain there and completely sunny where you are??

  4. Why do we even need the weather is what it is and you should just dress for any kind of weather in case the forecast is a tad wrong?

  5. Interesting. Are you suggesting an ensemble of rubber boots, sandles, shorts, snow pants, rain coat and sunglasses? I think I like it.


Agree? Disagree? Lay it on me!